In Mock Draft 1.0, the Cleveland Guardians were highlighted as they won the second annual draft lottery. The draft is tomorrow and things are still unclear in regards to the Guardians at the top. The #1 pick is worth a record setting $10,570,600 this year and their entire pool comes in at $18,334,000 which is tops in the draft. Paul Skenes and Dylan Crews each broke bonus records last year after signing for $9.2 million and $9 million respectively as the first and second overall selections.
There isn’t a player in this class expected to exceed the bonus that Skenes received in 2023 however and that could make things potentially interesting at the top of the draft with the majority of clubs hunting for discounts on players. The Colorado Rockies, Cincinnati Reds, Kansas City Royals and Oakland Athletics all possess bonus pools with $15 million or more to spend on the totality of their draft classes. In Mock Draft 2.0, Oregon State’s Travis Bazzana went at #1 overall. That changed in Mock Draft 3.0 and will remain in this final version.
After signing reliever Josh Hader in free agency, the Houston Astros will have the smallest bonus pool overall with a total of $5,914,700 and they’ll pick #28 overall in the first round. The New York Mets and San Diego Padres will drop ten spots apiece in the first round due to going over the highest threshold of the competitive balance tax. The Mets will pick at #19 while the Padres select at #25 overall. Neither club made the playoffs last season.
The Minnesota Twins will be able to spend $12,200,600 on their class while the Detroit Tigers will choose #11 overall in round one with a total bonus pool of $11,921,800. The Chicago Cubs will select 14th with a bonus pool just under $10 million. The Twins used the fifth overall selection last year to draft North Carolina prep outfielder Walker Jenkins and they signed him for $7,139,700. The Chicago White Sox selection at #5 overall this year is worth $7,763,700 which is a significant increase.
The White Sox’s bonus pool is worth $14,593,300 before taxes and they are expected to exceed $15 million spent on this year’s class. In addition to the pick at #5 overall, the Pale Hose will select at #43 in round two and #78 overall in round three. Chris Getz and company also acquired the #68 overall pick in the second round from the Seattle Mariners in a trade for righty reliever Gregory Santos back in February. That selection is worth $1,197,200 and adds to the club’s bonus pool.
I will be making just one selection for the White Sox in this mock draft. Here is a full five round projection for the White Sox though.
1. Cleveland Guardians: JJ Wetherholt, SS, West Virginia
The Guardians can take anyone they want and this likely decides the next few picks. Cleveland has gone underslot in round one often and they do this again with Wetherholt who was also in this spot in Mock Draft 1.0.
2. Cincinnati Reds: Jac Caglianone, 1B, Florida
Jac Caglianone likely scraps pitching as a professional but he has prodigious LH power. He could go anywhere from 2-5 and should move quickly to the big leagues. The Reds have a long history with Florida players.
3. Colorado Rockies: Charlie Condon, 3B, Georgia
Colorado has been rumored to be taking a pitcher but it will be tough for them to pass on the Golden Spikes Award winner.
4. Oakland Athletics: Travis Bazzana, 2B, Oregon State
Many believe that Bazzana is the best player in the draft class. He’s a legitimate option to go #1 overall but he might fall to this spot if he doesn’t cut a deal with Cleveland.
5. Chicago White Sox: Konnor Griffin, SS/CF, Jackson Prep HS (MS)
Griffin is an 18-year-old tool shed and the top prep player in the class. The White Sox probably take Jac Caglianone if he gets to this spot but the Mississippi prep with an under-slot bonus makes sense too.
6. Kansas City Royals: Hagen Smith, LHP, Arkansas
The Royals have been tied to California prep Bryce Rainer but it will be difficult for new scouting director Brian Bridges to pass on a lefty starter with Smith’s upside.
7. St. Louis Cardinals: Bryce Rainer, SS, Harvard-Westlake HS (CA)
St. Louis has been tied to Rainer a ton lately and many believe that he’s the best prep player in the draft class.
8. Los Angeles Angels: Braden Montgomery, OF, Texas A&M
The Angels have taken a bunch of college players lately and many of them have arrived in the majors. Montgomery could move fairly quickly as well.
9. Pittsburgh Pirates: James Tibbs, OF, Florida State
The Pirates cut a deal with Tibbs to use the savings in the balance round but he’s still one of the best college hitters in the class.
10. Washington Nationals: Chase Burns, RHP, Wake Forest
The Nationals executed a trade on Saturday night to acquire the 39th pick in the draft and an extra $2.4 million to use in their bonus pool. They can use those savings to move the best pitcher in the class down the board.
11. Detroit Tigers: Cam Caminiti, LHP, Saguaro HS (AZ)
Caminiti is really young after reclassifying but he’s the best prep lefty in the class. He has been great this spring and the Tigers have been heavily linked to him.
12. Boston Red Sox: Trey Yesavage, RHP, East Carolina
Yesavage shows a four pitch mix and the physical right hander projects as a mid-rotation starter who could move through the minors quickly.
13. San Francisco Giants: Nick Kurtz, 1B, Wake Forest
This is a big fall for Kurtz but it’s definitely the best player on the board for the Giants at this juncture.
14. Chicago Cubs: Malcolm Moore, C, Stanford
20-year-old catcher with left-handed power and he has impressed teams during the pre-draft process with his leadership and plus makeup.
15. Seattle Mariners: Jurrangelo Cijntje, RHP/LHP, Mississippi State
Cijntje is a switch-pitcher and Atlanta loves taking arms. He has earned comparisons to Marcus Stroman from the right side but also has some utility as a potential lefty reliever.
16. Miami Marlins: Cam Smith, 3B, Florida State
There’s a new scouting director in Miami and this could go any direction. Smith is young with power and had lots of success on The Cape.
17. Milwaukee Brewers: Carson Benge, OF, Oklahoma State
Solid outfield defender but the Brewers are drafting Benge for his improving bat here. He has displayed high exit velocities and improving power and Oklahoma State.
18. Tampa Bay Rays: Christian Moore, 2B, Tennessee
Christian Moore really showed out in the College World Series. The Rays have skewed younger but they buy the bat here. Itโs all fields power but with a second base profile and limited versatility defensively.
19. New York Mets: Seaver King, OF/IF, Wake Forest
King had an up and down season with Wake Forest but he can play multiple positions. Becomes the first draft pick under David Stearns in New York
20. Toronto Blue Jays: Theo Gillen, SS, Westlake HS (TX)
Athletic teenager from Texas with a sweet left-handed swing, hitting ability and plus raw power. The Jays have taken plenty of prep talent in the past.
21. Minnesota Twins: Ryan Waldschmidt, OF, Kentucky
Waldschmidt has really risen throughout the spring to where he’s expected in this range now. The right-handed hitter makes lots of contact with an all fields approach and pull side power. Some defensive questions remain however.
22. Baltimore Orioles: Vance Honeycutt, CF, North Carolina
Honeycutt is a definite center field with huge power and premium tools. The strikeout rate is staggering though and itโs a huge red flag for teams. Some similarities to Oriole Jud Fabian.
23. Los Angeles Dodgers: Kash Mayfield, LHP, Elk City HS (OK).
Mayfield is old for the class but the 19-year-old southpaw shows a high 90โs fastball with an advanced changeup. The Dodgers have one real shot at upside after forfeiting multiple picks though.
24. Atlanta Braves: Brody Brecht, RHP, Iowa
Brecht might have the highest upside of any pitcher in the college class. Legitimate 70 fastball and 70 slider combination with major command concerns. The Braves gamble on the premium athlete with premium stuff.
25. San Diego: Kellon Lindsey, SS, Hardee HS (FL)
.Premium athlete with 80-grade tun times. Former football player who should stay up the middle now that heโs committed to baseball. The Padres have taken a prep player in eight straight drafts.
26. New York Yankees: Luke Dickerson, SS, Morris Knolls HS (NJ)
Late riser in the draft process after leading his high school to a state title in hockey. Dickerson is the best prep prospect in the northeast and the multi-sport star should stay up the middle.
27. Philadelphia Phillies: William Schmidt, RHP, Catholic HS (LA)
Dave Dombrowski and the Phillies have taken big swings in recent years and they nab perhaps the top prep pitcher in the entire class again.
28. Houston Astros: Walker Janek, C, Sam Houston State
Janek won the Buster Posey Award as the nationโs top catcher. Heโll definitely stay behind the dish and possesses raw power and bat speed.
29. Arizona Diamondbacks: Carter Johnson, SS, Oxford HS (AL)
Arizona has a large bonus pool which helps them land this left-handed hitting infielder with 20 homer potential.
30. Texas Rangers: Caleb Lomavita, C, California
Lomavita has power and improving defensive skills with lots of Cape Cod success in his past.
Prospect Promotion Incentive Draft Picks
31. Arizona Diamondbacks: Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State
Culpepper played on the Collegiate National Team but he’s struggled with wood bats. He makes consistent contact but likely moves off shortstop.
32. Baltimore Orioles: Tommy White, 3B, LSU
White is a power prospect after clubbing 75 college homers but he’s likely contained to first base or designated hitter as a professional.
Competitive Balance A Draft Picks
33. Minnesota Twins: Dakota Jordan, OF, Mississippi State
Boom or bust type prospect with maximum exit velocities, huge power to all fields and high strikeout rates.
34. Milwaukee Brewers: Griff O’Ferrall, SS, Virginia
Another college performer for the Brewers. O’Ferrall had success with Team USA and shows on base and hitting ability.
35. Arizona Diamondbacks: Ryan Sloan, RHP, York HS (IL)
Sloan is huge with big stuff and the Diamondbacks scout Illinois heavily and have three early picks.
36. Cleveland Guardians: Slade Caldwell, OF, Valley View HS (AR)
Guardians use some of their savings on the third best prep position player in the draft class. He’s a left-handed hitter with bat speed and a good approach who is a no doubt center fielder.
37. Pittsburgh Pirates: David Shields, LHP, Mt. Lebanon HS (PA)
The Pirates are very familiar with Shields who starred as the quarterback at Mt. Lebanon before committing top baseball. He’s a projectable athlete with big stuff.
38. Colorado Rockies: Jonathan Santucci, LHP, Duke
Santucci was getting some top 20 love as a premium athlete from the left side but he’s had inconsistent results on the mound.
39. Washington Nationals: Ben Hess, RHP, Alabama
Hess is a large right-handed pitcher with a four pitch mix and has #2 starter upside. Nationals land another quick to the majors starter.